New meteorological data has revealed that a mere five percent of England will escape the significant snowfall event anticipated to sweep across the nation next week. Detailed weather maps, sourced from WX Charts and utilising Met Desk data, illustrate that approximately 95 percent of the country is likely to experience wintry conditions, leaving only a small fraction unaffected.
Timeline and Extent of the Snowfall
The GFS advanced modelling system forecasts that snow flurries will begin impacting the country from 9am on Friday, February 14. Within a 24-hour period, a broad band of white is expected to cover most of the United Kingdom. By 6am on Saturday, February 15, the vast majority of the nation is projected to have a visible covering of snow, with accumulations varying significantly by region.
Regions Spared from the Heaviest Snow
The areas identified as likely to avoid the most severe snowfall are concentrated in the south west and East Anglia. The specific counties expected to be spared include:
- Devon
- Cornwall
- Norfolk
- Suffolk
These regions may see lighter precipitation or rain instead of the heavy snow forecast for other parts of the country.
Expected Snow Accumulations
Snow depth predictions indicate substantial variability across the UK:
- Scotland: Could receive up to 19 centimetres (approximately seven inches) of snow.
- Northern England, the Midlands, and Wales: Are likely to see between 5 to 6 centimetres (around two inches) of accumulation.
These figures highlight the potential for significant disruption to travel and daily activities in the affected areas.
Short-Term Weather Outlook for the Weekend
Before the major snow event, the coming weekend of Saturday, February 7, and Sunday, February 8, is expected to see a shift in the current static weather pattern. A Netweather TV forecast indicates that while bands of rain will persist, particularly in regions that have already experienced heavy rainfall, there may be brighter intervals and even some sunshine for select locations.
The forecast advises that conditions for outdoor activities, such as countryside walks, hill trails, or ParkRun events on Saturday, will be challenging. Ground is expected to be muddy, slippery, and boggy with numerous puddles, although temperatures may not feel as cold as recent days. However, blustery rain remains a persistent threat.
Current Weather Warnings and Flood Risks
In the immediate term, yellow rain warnings are in effect for the Welsh Mountains and southern/south-western England, indicating a medium likelihood of low-impact disruptions. The Environment Agency has also highlighted an elevated risk of groundwater flooding in Wiltshire and Dorset, where water table levels are high and the ground is saturated.
This saturation means surface water cannot be absorbed, leading to swollen rivers and increased flood potential, especially when combined with onshore winds and high tides. In areas where groundwater infiltrates cellars, basements, and sewer networks, pumping operations are often necessary to manage the excess water.
Residents across the UK are advised to stay informed through official weather updates and prepare for potential travel disruptions and hazardous conditions as the snow event approaches.
