13 English Counties to Avoid Major Snowfall as Met Office Issues Winter Warning
13 Counties to Escape UK Snow Bomb, Met Office Warns

Met Office Warns of Widespread Winter Disruption as Snow Targets UK

The Met Office has issued a stark warning about impending wintry weather chaos set to sweep across the United Kingdom next week. Forecasters predict that several major cities could experience significant snowfall, leading to potential travel disruption and hazardous conditions. However, in a notable exception, thirteen counties located in the south of England are expected to largely escape the worst of this winter onslaught.

Detailed Snowfall Predictions and Regional Impacts

According to detailed weather modelling data from WX Charts, which utilises information from Met Desk, a substantial snow event is forecast to move across the country in the early hours of Tuesday, January 27th. The ECMWF weather model indicates that by approximately 3am, the snow will have drifted in a northward and eastward direction. Further maps for 6am reveal more heavy snowfall expected across England and the southern regions of Scotland.

Snow depth charts are particularly concerning, showing that accumulations could reach as much as 64 centimetres, which is just shy of 26 inches, in the Scottish Highlands. This level of snowfall presents a serious risk of isolation for communities and significant challenges for infrastructure and emergency services.

The Lucky Thirteen: Counties Set to Be Spared

Despite the widespread nature of the forecast, not all areas will face the same level of disruption. The following thirteen counties in southern England are currently predicted to avoid the brunt of the snow bomb:

  • Suffolk
  • Bedfordshire
  • Berkshire
  • Greater London
  • Surrey
  • Kent
  • Essex
  • Cambridgeshire
  • Wiltshire
  • Somerset
  • Cornwall
  • Devon
  • Dorset

This geographical reprieve means that while these southern counties may experience some wintry showers or rain, they are unlikely to see the deep, settling snow predicted for other parts of the nation. In contrast, regions like Birmingham and the wider West Midlands are expected to be directly hit by the adverse weather.

Official Met Office Forecast and Extended Outlook

The Met Office's official forecast from January 27th onwards explains the meteorological dynamics at play. "Weather systems moving in from the Atlantic will continue to attempt to push in from the west, but tending to stall in the vicinity of the UK as they encounter high pressure to the north and northeast," the forecast states.

This stalling effect is expected to result in further spells of rain or showers, which may be heavy and persistent, especially across southern and western areas. The forecast highlights a clash of air masses, with mild conditions likely to encroach into the south and southwest at times, while cold air remains positioned to the northeast, bringing wintry showers.

Where frontal systems from the southwest meet this colder air towards the northeast, there is a pronounced risk of snow, most likely across higher ground but potentially extending to other areas periodically.

Longer-Term Weather Patterns into February

Looking further ahead, the Met Office outlook for the period from February 6th to February 20th suggests a continuation of similar themes. Atlantic frontal systems are expected to continue attempting to push eastwards at times. With the jet stream positioned slightly further south than is typical for this time of year, the wettest conditions are more probable in central and southern areas of the UK.

Conversely, northern and northwestern parts of the country are most likely to experience drier than normal conditions. The forecast concludes by noting that while mild incursions of wet and windy weather are favoured at times in the south and west, the colder conditions persisting in the north and northeast will continue to bring associated wintry hazards. These hazards are especially likely where any precipitation attempts to spread in, particularly over higher ground and hills.

Residents across the UK are advised to stay updated with the latest Met Office warnings and to prepare for potential travel disruption and cold weather impacts in the coming weeks.