Reform UK is projected to lead the 2026 local elections across the West Midlands, according to the latest YouGov poll. The survey indicates a surge in support for Nigel Farage's party, with significant gains in both Labour and Conservative strongholds.
Key Findings
In Birmingham, Labour and Reform UK are tied at 21% each, preventing the complete collapse previously predicted for Labour. Reform UK is expected to win 28% in Sandwell and 31% in Solihull, marking historic shifts in traditionally safe seats.
Impact on Labour
The results would be unprecedented for Labour, which has controlled Birmingham for years and previously held all 72 Sandwell councillors. Both Birmingham and Sandwell face no-overall-control scenarios under these projections.
Green Party Gains
The Greens are also set for substantial gains, polling 19% in Birmingham and between 14-21% elsewhere across the region. This reflects a broader trend of increased support for smaller parties.
The poll suggests a major realignment in West Midlands politics, with Reform UK challenging the two-party dominance. Full details are available in the original report.
